Strategy Breakpoint
Buy Board-grade governance artifacts • Not forecasts

Two offers: a governance brief, then a monitoring layer.

ASF is designed for executives and boards making long-dated, irreversible commitments—especially in capex-heavy environments. Start with the Regime & Tripwire Brief. Add the Monitoring Dashboard to keep governance current as the world changes.

Product 1: ASF Regime & Tripwire Brief

A short, board-ready decision-control artifact that defines the regimes your strategy depends on, the misclassification costs, and the tripwires that force timely escalation—so expired assumptions cannot hide.

What you receive

Designed to gate decisions and remove ambiguity about “when we change strategy.”

Mutually exclusive regimes Constraints-first Misclassification cost explicit Hard vs soft tripwires Escalation owners named Audit-ready reasoning

Inputs (what we request)

Decision-level materials are sufficient. ASF is designed to avoid heavy integration.

  • Strategy memo(s) and the commitments it implies
  • Capex posture and irreversibility points
  • Major constraints: financing, contracts, counterparties, regulatory exposure
  • Existing governance cadence and decision owners

Outputs (what you can use immediately)

Short artifacts that can be circulated, reviewed, and defended.

  • Regime map: rules that determine strategy validity
  • Tripwire catalog: signals + thresholds + actions
  • Escalation protocol: owners, timing, re-approval triggers
  • Change-control logic: how updates happen without politics

Product 2: Strategy Breakpoint Monitoring Dashboard

A living layer that tracks tripwire status, regime pressure, and escalation artifacts—so the brief doesn’t decay. The goal is to detect drift early and force escalation before compounding losses lock in.

What you receive

Ongoing governance: a managed cadence, a watchlist, and a standing decision threshold map.

Tripwire watchlist Regime pressure score Update cadence Audit trail Escalation log

Monitoring cadence options

Choose the cadence that matches decision speed and irreversibility.

  • Monthly: fast-changing exposure, high optionality cost
  • Quarterly: board cadence, slower-moving commitments
  • Event-driven: updates upon predefined trigger events

What changes over time

Tripwires and regimes are stable structures; indicators and thresholds evolve as evidence changes.

  • Indicator calibration and threshold refinement
  • Constraint updates (cross-impacts, hazard shifts)
  • Documented revisions with “why” and “what changes” notes

Retainer menu

The dashboard is typically purchased as a retainer. Pick a governance intensity that matches the decision exposure. (You can edit these names later; the structure is what matters.)

Tier Best for Included Notes
Governance Light Board cadence monitoring Quarterly update + tripwire status + short escalation note Designed to keep the brief current with minimal burden
Governance Standard Active capex + long-dated commitments Monthly watchlist + regime pressure score + threshold calibration Best default for energy and capex-heavy boards
Governance Intensive High volatility, high irreversibility Monthly + event-driven updates + escalation rehearsals For environments where “late” is catastrophic
Pricing is intentionally not posted publicly. Your buyer is a governance function; pricing follows scope, cadence, and decision exposure.

Buyer-fit filter

Strategy Breakpoint works best when governance is the bottleneck. This filter prevents mismatch and preserves credibility.

Strong fit

  • Long-dated, irreversible commitments (capex, contracts, financing)
  • Multiple stakeholders: board/committee/executive alignment required
  • High tail-risk or cross-impact complexity
  • History of “assumption drift” and late recognition

Not a fit

  • You want point forecasts, targets, or “calls”
  • There is no governance forum to act on tripwires
  • Decisions are reversible and low consequence
  • You want a persuasion narrative rather than thresholds
Quick self-check: are we buying governance or prediction?

If your question is “What will happen?” you’re seeking prediction. If your question is “What would make our strategy unsafe, and how do we detect it in time?” you’re seeking governance. ASF is built for the second question.

Where this is commonly deployed

Corporate boards and strategy committees; energy & natural resources portfolios (oil-weighted, LNG-heavy, or power-centric); sovereign wealth funds and large asset owners overseeing long-horizon exposures.

Request an intro

If you’re governing long-dated commitments and want disciplined breakpoint detection, reach out. We’ll confirm fit fast.

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